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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 14, 2016 22:29:05 GMT
Sorry for the typos, no sleep lately!
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 14, 2016 22:30:37 GMT
WAIT!!! NEVERMIND!!!
STL was the SPS and the BMS won last night....Hmmmm....OK then we should DEFINITELY be betting the SPS tonight as parity has us at 4:1 right now.
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Post by tmcg on Apr 14, 2016 22:42:37 GMT
CHC as a Slaughter play. Done.
Side action TOR -1.5 runs +1.40. I never have luck with these -1.5 run games but so be it. Storman should keep them in this game.
Nice 2 plays.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 15, 2016 1:15:38 GMT
Yeah man, Stroman is throwing good.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 15, 2016 2:23:01 GMT
Hammel allows 2 on in the 7th. No out.
Wood steps in...let's see how this goes.
But KOODOS to coach for not thinking that he owes Hammel the chance at a shut out.
He let 2 on late in the game, and had Wood step in before any damage was done.
That's a LOT better than that 7th inning lapse of focus where starters lose focus and give up homers.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 15, 2016 2:24:01 GMT
Nevermind, there were 2 on and my screen was late updating. Those were CHC from the 6th that were on base. Nevermind
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 15, 2016 2:56:58 GMT
LOL now if the Cardinals didn't just flip us the biggest bird of 2016 so far tonight...
LOL
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 15, 2016 14:26:20 GMT
So. We suffered our first BMS loss. 7-1.
Today we have:
SPS: CHC -229 < - - - NO PLAY. Garbage value. STL -185
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 15, 2016 14:29:51 GMT
You know TMCG, looking back here....it seems like every high chalk ends in RL wins lately....am I crazy?
Should we take CHC -1.5?
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Post by tmcg on Apr 15, 2016 17:12:21 GMT
Good afternoon. I once read after -1.60 you lay the run line, better odds. Ya I was asking the same thing with regards to these RRF plays. We can't lay -2.60 No way.
Now yesterday we had 7 RRF plays. I was not able to see if any games needed to be eliminated, but RRF plays went 6-1 yesterday. That makes it roughly (14-11) leading up to today.
Todays RRF plays.
CWS -1.35 STL -1.92 KCR -1.10
2 games were eliminated.
CHC -2.40 MIA -1.80
I am still undecided about eliminating these games based on Forecast.
I see laying the -1.5 runs on CHC is priced at -1.15 Not bad.
We have a 100% stat for CHC coming off an 7 run win. It is backing up our SP, which is good.
The only way we can play this early game is to lay the -1.5 runs. Everything going for CHC this afternoon. The only thing going against them is 3 Blue stars and Forecast . That's it. It's the only reason they should be eliminated from becoming an RRF play and I am not even sure if we should be eliminating these games in the first place!!!
I am willing to risk laying the -1.5
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Post by tmcg on Apr 15, 2016 18:16:53 GMT
pulled this from Covers.
At 8-1, the Chicago Cubs have their best record through the first nine games of a season since 1969, when they also opened the year winning eight of their first nine contests. Chicago has won three of its last four games against the Colorado Rockies, but all three of those victories were in games decided by a single run. The Rockies are coming off back-to-back games in which they have scored 10 or more runs. Colorado is 7-1 all-time versus the Cubs at Wrigley Field when it scores 10+ runs in a game, but it has not done that since an 11-9 victory at Chicago, September 30, 2006
Cubs are 41-33 SU / 27-26 RL / 40-31-2 o/u vs Col Avg Score Col 5.3 - 5.2 Avg Total 9.5
Colorado at Chicago, 2:20 PM ET Colorado: 12-3 SU after scoring 10 runs or more in a win over a div rival Chicago: 64-74 SU off 2 straight home wins against division rivals
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Post by tmcg on Apr 15, 2016 18:17:59 GMT
SP play, so small amount on the CHC run line. -1.15 at -1.20
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Post by tmcg on Apr 15, 2016 20:13:44 GMT
Ah, Ha. This game is over already. Glad I went small. COL 4-0 Yikes!
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 15, 2016 21:20:58 GMT
LOL Luckily I was late to the ticket window I'm still on for the Cardinals. I'm watching the US Chess Championship in StLouis so all the omens say we're good to go
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 16, 2016 19:28:50 GMT
CIN with a 37 pt move, BUT it's at +126. NOWHERE NEAR PK.
When a team moves to or from near PK, they're 100% with the BMS.
When a team is +120 or more, they're 1-1.
CIN would be a +120 or more play.
So technically CIN isn't BMS because it's never been near PK, BUT..it's worthy to track.
OAK -140 BMS with a HUGE move.
ATL +119 BMS with a HUGE move. (still not quite PK but +119 is close.
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