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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 3, 2016 16:33:44 GMT
New season of baseball!
I'm going to leave STL@PIT alone as both starters had horrible ST. If I had to choose, I'd take PIT because at least they showed some timber, but they're only paying -125 so they're outside of value. I'd take them as dogs where they opened, but not now.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 3, 2016 16:42:42 GMT
OK my MLB bet for today is an OVER with TOR.
When TORONTO played as Favorite- With Total between 6 and 7: 15-1-5 ML
And
Stroman can't resolve Tampa Bay bats.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 5, 2016 0:06:21 GMT
Success last night trad capping weak Pitcher vs. Team.
West Coast games tonight! ARIZONA is a LSML play. Will it work with MLB? I'd take LAA but I don't trust Richards vs CHC at all. THAT SAID...I do trust LAA bats coming out of ST. Let's go ARI ML and LAA o7
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Post by tmcg on Apr 9, 2016 23:12:19 GMT
Good evening folks. It's been awhile. I have taken the last week and a half off from NBA. Too many teams resting starters. Why bother.
MLB. Treading lightly so far. Nailed both TOR over last 2 days.
I am working on something for baseball. I noticed it yesterday and am tracking it today.
Plays for today. I did not bet them.
CHC SEA NYM
We shall see.
Basically I am writing down in the RR Report both the visiting team's predicted runs for and against. Then do the same for the home team. Does one team have more runs for than the other team.
Example,
PHI @ NYM.
PHI 3.20 runs for. NYM 6.80 runs for. This for PHI as a visitor. Scroll down to NYM.
PHI 1.64 runs for. NYM 4.71 runs for. This is for NYM as the home team.
So across both teams the NYM come out ahead as the home team.
Now does Forecast also agree!!!!! If not we throw that game away.
If you look at CLE @ CWS. CLE had more runs for across both teams but Forecast said the opposite. As it turns out, CLE lost today to the CWS. Maybe this works or not. BAL almost qualified but forecast went against BAL.
So that leaves CHC, SEA, NYM where the RRR and forecast are all in agreement. We could refine the system so it only applies to home teams.
Anyways at least I am looking for something.
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Post by tmcg on Apr 9, 2016 23:15:43 GMT
I am amazed how often things don't line up this way. Out of 15 games we had 5 games qualify in the RRR but forecast eliminated 2 of those games.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 9, 2016 23:21:19 GMT
YEEEEEEAH! Good to see you back brother!!!! I've been having some success too! Let's get it rolling! )
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 9, 2016 23:24:03 GMT
I am amazed how often things don't line up this way. Out of 15 games we had 5 games qualify in the RRR but forecast eliminated 2 of those games. I know right? It's hard to find a good all arounder. As I remember, that was working very well last season though. Finding those gems...I have the records all backed up but when everything lines up, things are good with MLB ML.
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Post by tmcg on Apr 9, 2016 23:24:46 GMT
All we have left is the NBA playoffs and then BASEBALL in our faces everyday. lol.
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Post by tmcg on Apr 9, 2016 23:27:33 GMT
Out of those 3 games only the NYM have a blue star going for them tonight. Maybe all of this is not going to work but I will track it for the next week of games.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 9, 2016 23:27:43 GMT
lol True enough. That said, I love the change. I can't handle these sports through the whole season. CFL will save us from MLB, NCAAF will save us from CFL, NHL will save us from NCAAF etc.
I think we need 1-2 more national sports.
That's just me though.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 9, 2016 23:28:58 GMT
Out of those 3 games only the NYM have a blue star going for them tonight. Maybe all of this is not going to work but I will track it for the next week of games. Roger that. And we can even look at the logs and see what worked for us last year. But last year we didn't touch it until 2 weeks in. So this is all powder.
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Post by tmcg on Apr 9, 2016 23:30:48 GMT
I remember Slaughter Plays work good for the first month and then trailed off quickly.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 9, 2016 23:31:08 GMT
And I see SDP has a +25 point move from/to PK. So I'll be playing that system again tonight as well.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 9, 2016 23:36:30 GMT
Besides SDP +115, I'll also be playing SEA o8. These pitchers have bad vs. #s vs these teams...on top of that...they had bad ST ERAs as well. This system has been working so far.
I like my odds.
SDP +113 OAK o8
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 9, 2016 23:37:17 GMT
Out of those 3 games only the NYM have a blue star going for them tonight. Maybe all of this is not going to work but I will track it for the next week of games. Roger Dodger.
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