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Post by tmcg on Apr 13, 2016 23:14:35 GMT
So here is my theory on the Jays... If they lose tonight vs NYY. The players aren't happy with all the changes made in the front office. Is there anybody left in Clevelad who would like a job with the Jays! Contracts not handled properly and in a timely fashion. Players quoted as saying... The team doesn't want me next year! That sort of thing. Tulo will never be comfortable in TOR for some reason. They could tank just a little bit, until the players get what they want. Rogers better pay attention the next 2 weeks.
Now maybe they clobber NYY tonight but we shall see. Should be an empty Dome tonight.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 13, 2016 23:16:39 GMT
Hmmmmmmm, interesting angle....yeah.....Locker Room issues are the toughest to cap because they're throw all the numbers on their head with no trail or track as to why. The information you have is critical. I wonder if there is a site that tracks lockerroom team morale? Is that something WE could make happen? Hmmmmmm
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Post by tmcg on Apr 13, 2016 23:22:42 GMT
So on the radio in my car, I was listening how a long time fan fav, who worked in TOR head office quit this morning. Or was possibly pushed out by Shappiro and was immediately replaced by some guy from CLE. The reaction on the radio was not positive. I think if Rogers looses their fan base and the players are not happy, this could be a horrible start for the Jays.
The pot might be about to boil over, me thinks.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 14, 2016 0:07:16 GMT
Ok NOW I see what you're saying!
MIL was a 23pt big move dog and STL was the ST.
DAMN....
Hmmmm.
I think I screwed up.
This should have been a no play. These systems cancel each other out.
I'll leave my money with STL just because I don't want to pay the vig and because MIL isn't technically a 25pt move which is one criteria...(although 23 is very close)...
But MIL IS the dog odds, so maybe I should take the dog odds....Argh!!
I'll just leave it...I should reverse it and put a unit on MIL but I'll just leave it.
Besides, Big Move System is due, and besides, this isn't technically a BMS play yet.
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Post by tmcg on Apr 14, 2016 0:09:52 GMT
I agree. Let it ride. No going back. lol.
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Post by tmcg on Apr 14, 2016 0:15:53 GMT
It's a sign of weakness, after all. lol.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 14, 2016 0:25:28 GMT
I should have probably bet MIL there...but really though...if one play makes or breaks my bank, then this ride is over already anyway
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Post by tmcg on Apr 14, 2016 0:31:57 GMT
So that's NYY and STL plays for me so far. I am happy with that.
Still tracking RRF plays..
So far no SP plays with games that have ended already.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 14, 2016 0:50:11 GMT
SPS is kicking the crap out of BMS 3-1 LOL! BMS might be 7-0...but how many of those were up against Slaughter teams? My bet? NONE.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 14, 2016 0:50:34 GMT
Plus it's not technically a BMS play anyway
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 14, 2016 0:51:32 GMT
Happ is throwing a really good game...hmmm...maybe NYY can pick on the TOR bullpen?
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 14, 2016 2:53:50 GMT
Maybe we make the Big Move a +20 instead of +25?
I think it would be 8-0 if we said +20.
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Post by tmcg on Apr 14, 2016 21:59:07 GMT
Yikes, RRF plays went 1-4 and the eliminated play lost as well. Hmm, it seems like this idea of mine is not panning out. Well it was just a theory anyways. No harm done. I went 0-3 last night. LAA/OAK game went under, the NYY lost and so did STL play. Long day at work today. Haven't even visited the database yet.
What have you got on tap For tonight Sniper. Anything good.
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Post by tmcg on Apr 14, 2016 22:25:00 GMT
Who am I kidding, I can't cap the rest of the games in 40 mins. lol. lol.
TOR -1.5 runs, +1.40 1 unit. That's it for me.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Apr 14, 2016 22:26:20 GMT
All I see cracking for tonight is going to be a West Coast game where ARIZONA qualifies as a BMS at +120.
This is great news because they killed it at +120 a few days ago too as a BMS.
Let's go Rattlesnakes!!!
CHC is a Slaughter Play...and so far SPS is 1-0 this season as MIL made good last night.
Today, we'll play CHC even though it's bad chalk.
One more thing though...Look man...
When systems conflict, we should be playing EITHER game *UNLESS* we can prove that one system is substantially better than another when they go head to head..
WHY?
Because SPS wins about 2:1 give or take...
This means, for every 2 wins there has to be 1 loss.
So because MIL Slaughter Play won yesterday....then parity now kills our odds. We're now 1:1...non 2:1.
In other words, unless we're getting dog value, at 1:1, we should lay off.
I think since Slaughter is a PLATINUM consideration, we should be better every instance and making new trial systems ride shotgun to SPS.
If we had sorted this out yesterday, we would have bet MIL and then CHC today.
AS IT IS....
We'll simply start now and take CHC at chalk tonight. Technically it's losing odds...BUT...because we know this system earns, the sooner we get on it, the sooner we start chiseling money from Vegas Books.
Tonight's plays are: BMS, ARI +120 SPS, CHC -157.
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