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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 6, 2015 17:46:53 GMT
Perhaps you could look at how many points past spread they've given up? LOL no man not "you" as in YOU. I mean "you" as in "ONE" or "I". LOL Nice to know you'd be willing though No worries, all I'm saying is I'll track this for the time being. As look as it connects more than 50% the first 20 instances or so, I'll consider it as viable. If after 20 it's not making a difference, I'll discard the consideration.
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Post by tmcg on Nov 6, 2015 18:22:01 GMT
PHI @ CLE : (waiting to bet this game as the line keeps going up. 195.5 right now. We are betting the under!)
Monty McCutchen : 3 games, O/U = 3-0, 190-199.5 = 1-0 Mitchell Ervin : 2 games, )/U = 2-0, 190-199.5 = 1-0 Eric Lewis : 4 games, O/U = 1-3, 190-199.5 = 0-1 (Mr. Lewis was the most over ref in all of NBA last year)
WAS @ BOS : (over 209)
Joe Crawford : 3 games, O/U = 1-2, 200-210 = 1-0 Brent Barnaky : 3 games, O/U = 0-3, 200-210 = 0-1 Justine Duyne : 3 games, O/U = 1-2, 200-210 = 1-0
DET @ PHO : (Under 201)
Zake Zarba : 5 games, O/U = 4-1, 200-210 = 1-0 Matt Boland : 1 game, O/U = 1-0, 200-210 = 1-0 Eli Taylor : 4 games, O/U = 3-1, 200-210 = 0-0
So as you can see tonight's refs are actually working against us a little bit except for maybe the BOS game. It is early and hard to tell if these refs have a bias for the over or under.
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Post by 1weedhopper on Nov 6, 2015 18:39:17 GMT
i love reading all this stuff you guys post. awesome shit!!!
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Post by tmcg on Nov 6, 2015 19:16:15 GMT
Now that the database is fully updated, it has identified another Smart Stat play.
TOR @ ORL Over 196
Brian Forte : 2 games, O/U = 1-1, 190-199.5 = 1-0 Mark Ayotte : 3 games, O/U = 2-1, 190-199.5 = 1-1 Eric Dalen ; 3 games, O/U = 0-3, 190-199.5 = 0-0
This morning this total was at 202.5 and now is 196.5 That's a big drop. Good value for us! Not sure why everyone jumped on the under tonight?
We have 3 Blue stars and 1 green star indicating the over. We have 2 green stars indicating the under. We have a PVI of 29% this game goes under. Forecast is 195.73
I bought this game down to 195 just to be safe.
So that is 4 Smart Stat plays for tonight. Yikes. lol. lol. It is like I have said. Sometimes no games, sometimes 1 game, sometimes 4 or 5 games, one never knows.
Big night tonight.
Still waiting on that CLE game total. It has stalled at 195.5 Keeping a close watch on this game. If it hits 196 this afternoon I will take it and add a single to the total to get it to 197.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 6, 2015 20:11:17 GMT
TOR @ ATL Over 196
TOR @ ORL
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 6, 2015 20:12:10 GMT
I just put down on the ATL game man lol.
I'll ride it out instead of reversing it and paying the vig.
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Post by tmcg on Nov 6, 2015 21:16:21 GMT
It's TOR @ ORL
NOT ATL
My Mistake.
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Post by tmcg on Nov 6, 2015 21:17:21 GMT
PHI @ CLE game total up to 196
I will keep waiting. Maybe it will go higher? We are betting the under!
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Post by tmcg on Nov 6, 2015 23:03:17 GMT
Well at 6pm est, the line is still 196
It was 193.5 this morning and I am not sure this line will go any higher.
I bought it up to 197 and my bet is in. Under 197.
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Post by tmcg on Nov 6, 2015 23:07:45 GMT
In honor of tonight's make it or break it night for Smart Stats I picked up a nice steak and will cook potatoes and eat like a King. lol. lol.
Good luck tonight gentlemen.
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Post by tmcg on Nov 7, 2015 0:10:17 GMT
Here we go tonight.
7:10. Let's go.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 7, 2015 0:11:13 GMT
Sounds great
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 7, 2015 0:11:30 GMT
Pizza night for me.
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Post by tmcg on Nov 7, 2015 0:37:56 GMT
We still have this little matter of the CFL tonight.
WPG @ TOR
Nobody has any business investing in the 2nd half of this game. lol. Did I learn my lesson last week...nope.
I am watching this game!!! Haven't even started yet. I will be investing in the 2nd half of this game.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 7, 2015 0:44:29 GMT
What's your 2H record this year so far man?
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