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Post by 1weedhopper on Oct 18, 2015 10:26:22 GMT
my plays today are redskins +7 vikes -3 Texans =pk /+1.5...jumped on early in the week buff +3...lean good luck today gents!
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Post by 1weedhopper on Oct 18, 2015 10:29:58 GMT
adding leans Miami san fran
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Post by 1weedhopper on Oct 18, 2015 13:35:35 GMT
these are my final plays...I always buy 1 pt Denver = under 43.5 skins +8...MY BIG PLAY! buff +4 minn -2 hou +3.5 & under 44 I hope everyone has a profitable day...GOOD LUCK!
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Post by tmcg on Oct 18, 2015 16:48:00 GMT
Tough card today.
Out of all the games the only game that sticks out is DET. Yikes.
DET is +6 points in the SOS category. DET has 3 green stars in the 80% club vs CHI only having 1. With a total of 44.5 CHI is 5-5-1 ATS vs DET 11-5-1. CHI has a PVI of 47 while DET sits at 73. Forecast shows CHI scoring 16.34 points vs DET scoring 25.32. DET also has the advantage in the Super League category.
This is the only game where all these categories line up. I have not looked at the Mon night game. Other games come close but fall short.
DET has to win sometime. Why not against a CHI team that historically does not fare well in DET on Astro turf.
My only NFL play for today is DET -3 bought it down. Get off that hook. Half unit.
Good luck everyone.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Oct 18, 2015 17:04:02 GMT
I worry a little about Minnesota due to all the action they're seeing at a shallow "give away" line.
Carolina and Tennessee also look like "too good to be true", especially Carolina, but the action is far more reasonable on those plays.
1/2 on Carolina 1/2 on Tennessee
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Post by tmcg on Oct 18, 2015 20:42:49 GMT
Alright....... I have not won a play all weekend.
Now DET LIONS are into OT with CHI BEARS.
Now I am not Greedy!! All I want is for DET to kick a field goal and cover the 3 points. I love a good push. I don't need the outright win. I am totally happy with a push.
C'mon DET.
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Post by tmcg on Oct 18, 2015 21:01:10 GMT
Nice. DET pushes at -3 for the full game.
I'll take it. lol. lol.
Crazy weekend.
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Post by tmcg on Oct 18, 2015 21:13:51 GMT
That's it for me today.
Preserve thy Bankroll.
Back tomorrow. See Ya.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Oct 18, 2015 21:49:32 GMT
LOL see ya tomorrow man.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Oct 18, 2015 21:50:21 GMT
Good to see smart bettors that know how to protect themselves from their emotions. It's been probably 2-3 years since my emotions got the best of me
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Oct 19, 2015 3:06:44 GMT
I took about 12 hours to setup a spreadsheet that I used last year to good effect for NFL.
On week 5, you go week by week and track how teams performed week to week, and you do it in terms of how many points a team scored, how many they allowed, how strong the defense they were thinking, how strong the offense they were facing.
In this way, you can track:
a) how strong/weak each team's off/def is and it's handicapped to reflect their opponents strengths/weaknesses b) Hot/Cold/Steady streaks
Then, you put your feet up and see which teams are facing off.
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All I need now is to track injuries. And if an injured player is out and the off/def doesn't suffer, no biggie. But if the team suffers, then you have to make a note of the week that that player returns and handicap for that weakness.
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But even just handicapping off/def is a hell of a start.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Oct 19, 2015 15:31:23 GMT
I got Philly to cover, but just to secure the wager, I took them at the ML.
Traditional Capping for Off Def looks to be highly effective again this year.
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Post by 1weedhopper on Oct 19, 2015 23:26:11 GMT
im gonna play the giants +4.5 (bought 1 pt)
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Post by tmcg on Oct 19, 2015 23:41:18 GMT
Pass for me.
Good luck tonight boys. Whoever wins. lol.
I am all about baseball tonight and pork chops with garlic mashed potatoes. Nice.
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Post by tmcg on Oct 19, 2015 23:59:48 GMT
As Moderator of this forum, I just wanted you 2 guys to know, I am watching you both. lol. Spelling mistakes, bad grammar that sort of thing could land either one of you in hot water. lol. Forget to feed your dog or cat... Oh you will be banned. lol.
Good luck tonight boys.
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