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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Oct 8, 2015 18:00:14 GMT
I think I'll try and lock down a Thursday night win after finding this doozie:
When INDIANAPOLIS COLTS played as Home or Away Team- Vs HOUSTON TEXANS: 22-4 ML
Colts are currently a +4.5 points underdog.
Although Colts are short Luck, being 22-4ML vs Houston in this position tends to point to systemic advantages more-so than player-specific based advantages.
Further, what's Luck done for the Colts lately anyway?
Week 1, Luck put up 14 points vs a mid-tier Buffalo Defense. Week 2, Luck put up 7 points vs the best defense in the league. Week 3, Luck put up 35 points vs a rock solid Titans defense. < - - - Luck only passed for 260 yrds this game.
Hasselbeck put up 16 points across 282 yrds vs the Jags, but it should be noted that the Jags have a slightly weaker defense than the Bills.
So all in all, YES, the Colts are likely taking a step down with their backup QB...but it's a small step and the Colts' systems in place should hurt Houston's chances tonight.
I'll but a 1/2U WTS on the Colts at this price.
Houston offense is pretty much on par with the Colts', except they've had two of the easiest marks to score on in the Chiefs and the Buccs. So after we handicap "vs. strength of defense", Colts are actually WAY ahead in scoring, and as we saw, they do it on the ground more than they do it in the air.
So yeah, I think Colts is a good bet here, and I'll have to actually consider the full unit here. Also, I'm trying to figure out if I swapped out my IND pick in WSOH because right now, I'm wishing I could play them for at least a 2* play.
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Post by tmcg on Oct 9, 2015 21:31:00 GMT
That was some fine handicapping Sniper. It helped with my losing Jays 1st to 4 play. Ah thank you Sir.
I took TEX today at +1.60. Top of the 14th 6-4 TEX. C'mon baby.
Not sure about CFL the Fri night. Just got home.
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