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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 26, 2015 23:51:19 GMT
Green Bay has the better defense, and the defense is a strong consideration, but RUSHING is what wins football games and both teams are completely equal. The only different is that Chicago has the better passing game and GBP don't have a very good pass defense. I think Chicago could win this one in the air. I really do. On top of that, GBP are 3-7 ATS so they're playing sub-par.
I think I'd have to go with CHICAGO +8 here man....it really could be very close.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 26, 2015 23:53:09 GMT
Then again...Green Bay was damn hot last outing....they played killer...
Hmmmmmm.
I have no clue here.
No bet.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 27, 2015 0:04:58 GMT
When GREEN BAY PACKERS team Played as home team as a Favorite playing in week 12: 5-3 ATS
When CHICAGO BEARS team Played as road team as a Underdog playing in week 12: 8-4 ATS
When GREEN BAY PACKERS team Played as home team as a Favorite coming off a 1 ATS win: 27-25-4 ATS
When CHICAGO BEARS team Played as road team as a Underdogcoming off a 3 ATS: 7-8-1 ATS
Dang man, I don't feel this position helps.
Maybe the 8-4 stat leaning Chicago?
I don't know.
If GBP didn't have the game they had last week...I'd be all over Chicago, but there is nothing more dangerous than a team that's just found their footing.
There is a high likelyhood that the next time we see the Packers play poorly is when they get tired of winning in week 14 or 15.
I don't know man. I gotta stay away here I think.
When these two have met the OU is 4-2, and the 4 OVER were all of the last 4 times they've met.
So maybe we take the OVER here again McGrath? What do you think boss?
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Post by tmcg on Nov 27, 2015 0:15:43 GMT
Will the DataBase Get it Right!!
So today the database favored PHI and DAL. Look it up. DET won and CAR is looking good.
Now the database is indicating GB. Could this be the game where we go with the database?
I say YES. I bought it down to 7, -1.25
It's perfect.
CHI @ GB. GB -9 O/U 46.5
With a total of 46.5 CHI is 3-6-2 and GB is 8-3-2 CHI PVI 20% and GB 53%. We also have PVI and the RR report PVI lining up both being higher than CHI's. 35% chance PVI this game goes under 46.5 We have 6 green stars going for GB ATS and none for CHI. We have 6 green stars and 1 blue star all pointing towards the Over tonight. Plus an indicator in the RR Report. Not sure about the weather right now! CHI does have week 12 going for them. They are 12-6-0 vs GB 7-4-1. Still not bad for GB. With a total of 46.5 CHI is 3-8-0 towards the under. GB is 5-7-1 to the under. Again, weather considerations. Forecast is saying 16.67 points scored for CHI and 27.83 for GB (GB covers the 9) SOS shows CHI sitting at - 13 while GB is at + 1. Advantage GB.
Can CHI win this game or at least cover... Sure. Maybe. Kinda like DAL today. Why fight it. GB -7 points for the full game.
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Post by tmcg on Nov 27, 2015 0:24:50 GMT
The line is 7.5 and I bought it down to 7.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 27, 2015 0:47:38 GMT
LOL OK cool man. Good considerations. You're on the Packers, I'm on the OVER. Let's see what goes down in the town. I think GB wins this, but it could be tight.....but I hope it's a blowout so I cover easy
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Post by tmcg on Nov 27, 2015 1:24:37 GMT
Special Play.
GB -3 points for the 1st qtr only.
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Post by tmcg on Nov 27, 2015 1:29:27 GMT
GB and the Montreal Allouetts remind me of each other.
Towards the end of Callvillo's career he liked to come out and score a TD on the teams first possession and Rogers is kind of like that. If GB gets close, he will go for it.
I can see GB to be at least up 3 points by the end of the 1st qtr.
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Post by tmcg on Nov 27, 2015 2:18:40 GMT
End of the 1st qtr. Score 0-7
GB covers the 1st qtr - 3 points.
I'll take that.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 27, 2015 2:20:18 GMT
Congrats on your 1st Quarter bet man! You always know what to do
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 27, 2015 2:21:14 GMT
You're like the Prop Bet KING!!!
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 27, 2015 3:00:51 GMT
QUESTION: How is it working out where the books open a line at say, Home Team -12, and then the second half is at PK.
You were playing the book against itself right? As in, if a home team is priced -12 and they're PK at the 1/2, that by then betting the home team, you're basically giving yourself 12 points according to Vegas' best oddsmakers right?
How was that working for you man?
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 27, 2015 4:47:16 GMT
Rough go. Good thing yuo took down the 1st Qtr prop man. At least you broke even.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 27, 2015 4:48:23 GMT
I thought Packers would at least take it straight up if not by 7 at least by 6 or 5 or 4. Nobody saw that upset coming.
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 27, 2015 4:48:54 GMT
I won my NCAAF Tues Thus fantasy games on DraftKings and Fanduel
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