Post by ATS Staffwriter on Jul 4, 2016 20:40:48 GMT
Trad capping for momentum and performance so far:
Teams Offense and Defense that have performed consistently through Pre-Season and the first 2 weeks (not handicapped for opposition strength/weakness):
Points For:
MTL PS1:13 PS2:22 W1:22 W2:13 (MTL offense would suggest UNDER)
WPG 36 14 14 22 (WPG offense would suggest UNDER)
HAM 16 42 42 3 (Wildcard...where did that "3" come from!?)
TOR 25 15 20 30 (Too close to the spread to call an edge.)
SSK 16 11 17 (SAS offense would suggest UNDER)
EDM 23 25 37 (EDM offense would suggest OVER)
CGY 13 31 18 36 (Wildcard...we don't know if they'll score 13 or 31.)
BCL 28 21 20 28 (Too close to the spread to call an edge.)
OTT 18 25 45 28 (OTT offense would suggest the OVER)
Points Against:
MTL: 36 15 14 13 (MTL defense would suggest the UNDER)
WPG: 13 18 22 36 (WPG defense would suggest the OVER)
HAM: 25 25 3 28 (Too close to the spread to call an edge.)
TOR: 16 22 42 17 (Wildcard...we don't know if we'll see 42 or 17)
SSK: 28 25 30 (SAS defense would suggest the OVER)
EDM: 13 11 45 (Wildcard. EDM defense is sketchy. Look at teams that go hard in PS and then suck in week 1. WPG and TOR. And their results in week 2 were opposite.)
CGY: 23 21 20 22 (CGY should be good for the UNDER)
BCL: 16 31 18 3 (BCL should be good for the UNDER)
OTT: 14 42 37 13 (Wildcard...we don't know if we'll see 37 or 13)
Week 2 matcups:
WPG @ HAM: WPG UO : HAM ??
TOR @ BCL - TOR ?? : BCL uU (a case could be made for the BCL offense to go under)
CGY @ OTT - CGY ?U : OTT O?
SSK @ EDM - SSK UO : EDM O?
So we're hoping to see TOR@BCL trend UNDER tomorrow and we're hoping to see SSK@EDM trend OVER tomorrow.
If we look at just the first to games and ignore preseason:
Points For:
BC = to the total.
CGY = to the total.
EDM way way OVER the total.
SSK way UNDER the total.
WPG is way way OVER the total.
OTT is way way way OVER the total.
HAM is = to the total.
MTL is way way UNDER the total.
TOR is = to the total.
Points Against:
BC is way way way way UNDER the total.
CGY is under the total.
EDM is = to the total.
SSK is over the total.
WPG is over the total.
OTT is = to the total.
HAM is = to the total.
MTL is under the total.
TOR is way OVER the total.
So according to the first 2 weeks:
WPG @ HAM - Oo ==
TOR @ BCL - =O =U
CGY @ OTT - =u O=
SSK @ EDM - Uo O=
EDM OVER is the only one that was the same.
We still will look at BCL UNDER
We still will look at WPG OVER
Whatever of these three matches the ATSSTATS matchups tomorrow, I'll have my people sign off on full unit plays.
And as always, if nothing matches, ATSSTATS will trump all decision because I have 90% of last year documented and I'd rather bet on that than on anything else.
One thing is for sure, for my first day back, I will watch the biggest game.
I'll look at ATS tomorrow, maybe we can find a good spread.
Teams Offense and Defense that have performed consistently through Pre-Season and the first 2 weeks (not handicapped for opposition strength/weakness):
Points For:
MTL PS1:13 PS2:22 W1:22 W2:13 (MTL offense would suggest UNDER)
WPG 36 14 14 22 (WPG offense would suggest UNDER)
HAM 16 42 42 3 (Wildcard...where did that "3" come from!?)
TOR 25 15 20 30 (Too close to the spread to call an edge.)
SSK 16 11 17 (SAS offense would suggest UNDER)
EDM 23 25 37 (EDM offense would suggest OVER)
CGY 13 31 18 36 (Wildcard...we don't know if they'll score 13 or 31.)
BCL 28 21 20 28 (Too close to the spread to call an edge.)
OTT 18 25 45 28 (OTT offense would suggest the OVER)
Points Against:
MTL: 36 15 14 13 (MTL defense would suggest the UNDER)
WPG: 13 18 22 36 (WPG defense would suggest the OVER)
HAM: 25 25 3 28 (Too close to the spread to call an edge.)
TOR: 16 22 42 17 (Wildcard...we don't know if we'll see 42 or 17)
SSK: 28 25 30 (SAS defense would suggest the OVER)
EDM: 13 11 45 (Wildcard. EDM defense is sketchy. Look at teams that go hard in PS and then suck in week 1. WPG and TOR. And their results in week 2 were opposite.)
CGY: 23 21 20 22 (CGY should be good for the UNDER)
BCL: 16 31 18 3 (BCL should be good for the UNDER)
OTT: 14 42 37 13 (Wildcard...we don't know if we'll see 37 or 13)
Week 2 matcups:
WPG @ HAM: WPG UO : HAM ??
TOR @ BCL - TOR ?? : BCL uU (a case could be made for the BCL offense to go under)
CGY @ OTT - CGY ?U : OTT O?
SSK @ EDM - SSK UO : EDM O?
So we're hoping to see TOR@BCL trend UNDER tomorrow and we're hoping to see SSK@EDM trend OVER tomorrow.
If we look at just the first to games and ignore preseason:
Points For:
BC = to the total.
CGY = to the total.
EDM way way OVER the total.
SSK way UNDER the total.
WPG is way way OVER the total.
OTT is way way way OVER the total.
HAM is = to the total.
MTL is way way UNDER the total.
TOR is = to the total.
Points Against:
BC is way way way way UNDER the total.
CGY is under the total.
EDM is = to the total.
SSK is over the total.
WPG is over the total.
OTT is = to the total.
HAM is = to the total.
MTL is under the total.
TOR is way OVER the total.
So according to the first 2 weeks:
WPG @ HAM - Oo ==
TOR @ BCL - =O =U
CGY @ OTT - =u O=
SSK @ EDM - Uo O=
EDM OVER is the only one that was the same.
We still will look at BCL UNDER
We still will look at WPG OVER
Whatever of these three matches the ATSSTATS matchups tomorrow, I'll have my people sign off on full unit plays.
And as always, if nothing matches, ATSSTATS will trump all decision because I have 90% of last year documented and I'd rather bet on that than on anything else.
One thing is for sure, for my first day back, I will watch the biggest game.
I'll look at ATS tomorrow, maybe we can find a good spread.