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Post by tmcg on Oct 27, 2015 1:57:06 GMT
BAL + 5.5 , -1.05 to start the 2nd half.
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Post by tmcg on Oct 27, 2015 2:09:46 GMT
Line moved to -1.15
Good sign.
Will the travel kick in. I don't think so. BAL defense is well rested. Air conditioned facility. Nobody is breaking a sweat.
Well time will tell. Win or lose this game we have NBA and MLB tomorrow night.
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Post by tmcg on Oct 27, 2015 3:45:40 GMT
BAL covers the Full game.
BAL covers the 2nd half.
I gave back a 1/4 unit tonight.
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Post by 1weedhopper on Nov 1, 2015 11:24:02 GMT
11/1 leans st Louis -8 nyg +3 & ml det +3.5 balt -3.5...or just ml balt= under 51 hou -3.5...or just ml
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 1, 2015 21:42:13 GMT
I have a 1 point play and a 3 point play left for NFL. If they both win, then I'll....... Nevermind, I'm not going to jinx it
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Post by 1weedhopper on Nov 2, 2015 9:58:50 GMT
I have a 1 point play and a 3 point play left for NFL. If they both win, then I'll....... Nevermind, I'm not going to jinx it what were the plays??? dying to know!
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 2, 2015 15:14:40 GMT
DAL 1* DEN 3*
I lied though...while the Saints won ML for a unit, they pushed at -3 on WSOH.
So I was 6-0-1 this past week on WSOH. Too bad NOS was my 7 star play.
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Post by 1weedhopper on Nov 2, 2015 22:23:44 GMT
wow great day you had!!
11/2 plays Carolina -5.5
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 2, 2015 22:45:13 GMT
I'll tail CAR at -5.0 for a 1/2 unit.
They should definitely win, and I think it should be by more than -9.5
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Post by tmcg on Nov 2, 2015 23:30:47 GMT
Alright count me in boys. -5.5 for me.
No NBA data in the database today so NFL it is.
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Post by 1weedhopper on Nov 8, 2015 10:18:11 GMT
11/8 plays pitt-5 tampa bay +3 & ml+110 Denver -5
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 8, 2015 14:29:34 GMT
What's "11/8" plays men man>
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Post by 1weedhopper on Nov 8, 2015 15:53:06 GMT
What's "11/8" plays men man> its the date...lol
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Post by 1weedhopper on Nov 8, 2015 15:56:03 GMT
swichting pitt play to... Oakland +6 minn = under 40.5 Denver = under 46
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Post by ATS Staffwriter on Nov 8, 2015 16:27:32 GMT
Defense Over Offense Rush Over Pass System Explained. - When we look at the record after a few weeks of NFL, we see that: Strong offense teams (top 10 in scoring, that are top 8 of the league) Packers Cardinals Patriots Bengals
Strong defense teams (top 10 in defense, that are top 8 of the league) Packers Cardinals Patriots Steelers Packers Jets
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What wins games? Offense or Defense?
Top 9 offensive teams 17 losses. Top 9 defensive teams 10 losses.
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Which teams win more? Passing / Rushing?
Top Passing teams:
SDC 2-4 NEP 5-0 NOS 2-4 HOU 2-4 DET 1-5
12-17
Top Rushing teams:
NYJ 4-1 SEA 2-4 CAR 5-0 ATL 5-1 GBP 6-0
22-6
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So in this way we realize that if a game is PK, and both teams have the same WL record: -we know that the team with the better defense is better. (Team A 25PF 50PA) will lose to (Team B 12.5PF 25PA). -we know that the team with the better rushing is better. (Team A 200PYPG 150RYPG) will lose to (150PYPG 200RYPG).
Simply knowing this, we can now take a seemingly "even" matchup and realize that the public will bet down the line one way or another. If the publicly favorited team is is the pass team / offensive team, then there will be massive value on the def/rush team. Even at pure PK, the def/rush team has strong value regardless of public wagers.
*Just remember to check for extraordinary rush defense, and extraordinary passing. Strong Rush off. vs the best Rush def. is probably not as valid.* Same goes for passing.
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